San Diego St
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 77.5422Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Stony Brook 42- 0 906 A Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 13-36 920 H California ACC ( 7- 6, 74.6) 34- 0 927 A No Illinois MIDA ( 3- 9, 64.5) 6- 3 1003 H Colorado St MIDW ( 2-11, 64.4) 45-24 1011 A Nevada MIDW ( 4- 8, 71.4) 10-44 1025 A Fresno St MIDW ( 8- 4, 74.4) 23- 0 1101 H Wyoming MIDW ( 5- 7, 70.9) 24- 7 1108 A Hawaii MIDW ( 8- 5, 76.2) 6-38 1115 H Boise State MIDW ( 9- 4, 80.1) 17- 7 1122 H San Jose St MIDW ( 3- 9, 69.0) 25- 3 1128 A New Mexico MIDW ( 9- 4, 77.5) 17-23 1227 N No Texas AME (12- 2, 82.8) 47-49
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Wash St 13-36 -23 -10 -- -4.27
920 H California 34- 0 34 8 ++ 5.83
927 A No Illinois 6- 3 3 8 -- -4.74
1003 H Colorado St 45-24 21 18 0.00
1011 A Nevada 10-44 -34 1 --- -14.88
1025 A Fresno St 23- 0 23 -2 +++ 16.15
1101 H Wyoming 24- 7 17 12 + 2.08
1108 A Hawaii 6-38 -32 -4 --- -10.08
1115 H Boise State 17- 7 10 3 +++ 7.28
1122 H San Jose St 25- 3 22 14 0.18
1128 A New Mexico 17-23 -6 -5 -0.77
1227 N No Texas 47-49 -2 -5 + 3.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Nevada 10-44 -34 1 --- -14.88 1108 A Hawaii 6-38 -32 -4 --- -10.08 906 A Wash St 13-36 -23 -10 -- -4.27 927 A No Illinois 6- 3 3 8 -- -4.74 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 A Fresno St 23- 0 23 -2 +++ 16.15 1115 H Boise State 17- 7 10 3 +++ 7.28 920 H California 34- 0 34 8 ++ 5.83 1101 H Wyoming 24- 7 17 12 + 2.08 1227 N No Texas 47-49 -2 -5 + 3.21 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wash St ( 7- 6, 82.0) 13-36 -17.88 33.34 5.26 1.06 -6.71
3 H California ( 7- 6, 74.6) 34- 0 -25.27 25.95 -5.26 1.06 43.97
3 A No Illinois ( 3- 9, 64.5) 6- 3 -35.36 15.86 5.26 1.06 44.88
3 H Colorado St ( 2-11, 64.4) 45-24 -35.45 15.77 -5.26 1.06 22.33
3 A Nevada ( 4- 8, 71.4) 10-44 -28.49 22.73 5.26 1.06 -12.34
3 A Fresno St ( 8- 4, 74.4) 23- 0 -25.47 25.75 5.26 1.06 65.90
3 H Wyoming ( 5- 7, 70.9) 24- 7 -29.02 22.20 -5.26 1.06 36.00
3 A Hawaii ( 8- 5, 76.2) 6-38 -23.70 27.52 5.26 1.06 -9.79
3 H Boise State ( 9- 4, 80.1) 17- 7 -19.81 31.41 -5.26 1.06 55.56
3 H San Jose St ( 3- 9, 69.0) 25- 3 -30.92 20.30 -5.26 1.06 31.96
3 A New Mexico ( 9- 4, 77.5) 17-23 -22.39 28.83 5.26 1.06 -9.10
3 N No Texas (12- 2, 82.8) 47-49 -17.14 34.07 -0.00 1.06 -9.11
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253.54
|
winning pts = 300.5976 losing points = -47.0529
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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